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A quantitative sugar crash...Oct 12 2012 Weekend Market Wrap-Up []

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A quantitative sugar crash...Oct 12 2012 Weekend Market Wrap-Up []

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Video Added: October 12, 2012, 3:18 am | Video Duration: 00:04:30 | Total View: 743

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Welcome to's Weekly Market Wrap-up. We'll start things off in the equities sector, which initially traded up on Thursday morning as a sort of mini dead-cat bounce, but ultimately the efforts proved to be futile, as only the S&P 500 posted gains, if you can call a two-hundredths of a percent move up a gain. Various mainstream analysts have noted that this so-called rally has been a disappointment, and a re-test of prior lows for the major indexes could be looming on the horizon. Perhaps the biggest shocker that wasn't quite that much of a shock was Standard and Poor's reduction of Spain's credit rating to one notch above junk grade.

While the actual announcement may have caught some traders off-guard, and although some rumblings did occur in the FOREX markets, much of the volatility balanced out by Thursday morning, with the US dollar closing at 79,78 and the Euro recovering the 129 level. Currencies will be a major talking point moving forward, especially with those who have an eye towards the commodities sector. If we look at the technical charts for the US dollar index, we can see that the paper bulls did gain some momentum this week, as the last three sessions' price action occurred mostly to the north of the 20 day moving average. It does have to be noted that the dollar bears do have control of the market, although continued uncertainties in the Eurozone could give strength to the greenback, as it is seen as "the least worst currency."

Now how will all of this affect gold in the coming weeks? As you know, it's been a month since QE3 was announced and the price of gold has basically gone nowhere. It attempted a shot at 1,800 and it tested 1,750 and the damn price keeps nestling in at 1,770, giving neither the bulls nor the bears any meaningful chance of profitable trading opportunities. My biggest concern here is the incredibly lethargic price action, given that nearly all major economic powers have introduced some form of monetary easing programs. Since the beginning of this week, the overall trend has been decidedly downwards, with the last two sessions' trading range occurring mostly underneath the 20 day moving average.

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